Njardvik vs Afturelding: prediction and stats
1. DeildRegular Season - 22Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Rafholtsvöllurinn, Njarðvík, Reykjanesbær
The Footlab model makes Afturelding the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Njardvik. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Njardvik vs Afturelding?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Njardvik (1,682) and Afturelding (1,741).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Njardvik have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; Afturelding have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Völsungur(home) | 4-0 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 17, 2026 | IR Reykjavik(away) | 1-3 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Grotta(away) | 4-1 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vestri(home) | 3-1 | 1. Deild |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Ægir(away) | 1-0 | 1. Deild |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ægir(away) | 7-0 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 17, 2026 | HK Kopavogur(home) | 2-2 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Fylkir(away) | 3-3 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Grindavik(home) | 4-1 | 1. Deild |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Throttur Reykjavik(away) | 1-4 | 1. Deild |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Njardvik win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Afturelding win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2026 | Afturelding 2-0 Njardvik | 1. Deild |
| May 13, 2026 | Afturelding 5-2 Njardvik | Cup |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Afturelding 4-1 Njardvik | 1. Deild |
| Jun 30, 2024 | Njardvik 2-5 Afturelding | 1. Deild |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Njardvik 1-2 Afturelding | 1. Deild |
| Jun 16, 2023 | Afturelding 7-2 Njardvik | 1. Deild |
Last archived meeting: Afturelding vs Njardvik on Jun 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Njardvik score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Afturelding score 3.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Njardvik | 2.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Afturelding | 3.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Njardvik sit 5th in 1. Deild (35 points from 20 matches) and Afturelding sit 1st (39 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Afturelding | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 60 | 31 | 39 |
| 5 | Njardvik | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 26 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Njardvik vs Afturelding?
- The Footlab model makes Afturelding the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Njardvik.
- Where and when is Njardvik vs Afturelding played?
- Njardvik vs Afturelding is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Rafholtsvöllurinn, in the 1. Deild.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.