IR Reykjavik vs Leiknir R.: prediction and stats
1. DeildRegular Season - 22Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Hertz völlurinn, Reykjavík
The Footlab model makes IR Reykjavik the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Leiknir R.. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win IR Reykjavik vs Leiknir R.?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate IR Reykjavik (1,632) and Leiknir R. (1,543).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, IR Reykjavik have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Leiknir R. have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Grotta(away) | 3-1 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Njardvik(home) | 3-1 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Vestri(away) | 0-1 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Ægir(home) | 3-2 | 1. Deild |
| Jul 29, 2026 | HK Kopavogur(away) | 1-5 | 1. Deild |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vestri(away) | 0-2 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Ægir(home) | 6-1 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 13, 2026 | HK Kopavogur(away) | 1-2 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Fylkir(home) | 3-0 | 1. Deild |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Grindavik(away) | 0-1 | 1. Deild |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 IR Reykjavik win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Leiknir R. win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2026 | Leiknir R. 2-1 IR Reykjavik | 1. Deild |
| Jan 24, 2026 | IR Reykjavik 1-1 Leiknir R. | Reykjavik Cup |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Leiknir R. 1-1 IR Reykjavik | 1. Deild |
| Jun 13, 2025 | IR Reykjavik 1-0 Leiknir R. | 1. Deild |
| Jan 9, 2025 | Leiknir R. 2-1 IR Reykjavik | Reykjavik Cup |
| Jul 25, 2024 | IR Reykjavik 1-0 Leiknir R. | 1. Deild |
Last archived meeting: Leiknir R. vs IR Reykjavik on Jun 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
IR Reykjavik score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Leiknir R. score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IR Reykjavik | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Leiknir R. | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
IR Reykjavik sit 9th in 1. Deild (25 points from 20 matches) and Leiknir R. sit 8th (25 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Leiknir R. | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 30 | 25 |
| 9 | IR Reykjavik | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 41 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for IR Reykjavik vs Leiknir R.?
- The Footlab model makes IR Reykjavik the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Leiknir R..
- Where and when is IR Reykjavik vs Leiknir R. played?
- IR Reykjavik vs Leiknir R. is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Hertz völlurinn, in the 1. Deild.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.