AEK Larnaca vs Akritas: prediction and stats
CupRound of 32Kick-off on October 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)AEK Arena - George Karapatakis, Lárnaka (Larnaca)
The Footlab AI model makes AEK Larnaca the favourite at 80%, against 13% for a draw and 7% for Akritas. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AEK Larnaca vs Akritas?
AEK Larnaca is a heavy favourite: 2,049 Elo points against 1,672, a 378-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AEK Larnaca vs Akritas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AEK Larnaca
4-2-3-1- 11R. Bajić
- 20J. Repas
- 9Đ. Ivanović
- 14A. Layouni
- 7Gus Ledes
- 6I. Pankov
- 15H. Miličević
- 3M. van der Hoorn
- 23S. Köhler
- 17K. Pileas
- 92A. Paleari
Akritas
4-2-3-1- 25E. Vignato
- 37B. Manu
- 5K. Antoniou
- 80Carlitos
- 26I. Hadjivasilis
- 17Y. Castro
- 19T. Ioannou
- 29N. Zinonos
- 4S. Miller
- 28P. Zabelin
- 1K. Perntreou
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AEK Larnaca have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Akritas have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Apollon Limassol(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Omonia 29is Maiou(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Pafos(home) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | PAEEK(away) | 1-2 | 2. Division |
| Sep 19, 2026 | ASIL Lysi(home) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Ermis(away) | 0-2 | 2. Division |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Enosis(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 15, 2026 | AEL(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 AEK Larnaca wins, 2 draws, 0 Akritas wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | AEK Larnaca 3-0 Akritas | 1. Division |
| Dec 1, 2025 | Akritas 1-1 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| Oct 1, 2024 | AEK Larnaca 5-0 Akritas | Cup |
| Feb 10, 2023 | AEK Larnaca 1-1 Akritas | 1. Division |
| Nov 7, 2022 | Akritas 1-2 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: AEK Larnaca vs Akritas on Mar 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AEK Larnaca score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Akritas score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Larnaca | 1.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Akritas | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about AEK Larnaca vs Akritas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AEK Larnaca vs Akritas?
- The Footlab AI model makes AEK Larnaca the favourite at 80%, against 13% for a draw and 7% for Akritas.
- Where and when is AEK Larnaca vs Akritas played?
- AEK Larnaca vs Akritas is played on October 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at AEK Arena - George Karapatakis, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.