Aris vs Ethnikos Achna: prediction and stats
CupRound of 32Kick-off on October 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
The Footlab AI model makes Ethnikos Achna the favourite at 44%, against 21% for a draw and 35% for Aris. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ethnikos Achna wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aris vs Ethnikos Achna?
On Elo ratings, Aris has 1,920 points and Ethnikos Achna 1,748.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aris vs Ethnikos Achna
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aris
4-2-3-1- 11R. Effaghe
- 29D. Gaustad
- 70C. El Allachi
- 30Gustavo Pajé
- 8C. Charalampous
- 22V. Nikolić
- 27J. Badelj
- 7Anderson Correia
- 17M. Matysik
- 20S. Yago
- 91M. Zadro
Ethnikos Achna
3-4-3- 33N. Andereggen
- 64Rafael Camacho
- 47N. Perdios
- 77Neneco
- 27A. Confais
- 70C. Giousis
- 20Luís Machado
- 5Luís Felipe
- 10M. Pechlivanis
- 12E. Lomotey
- 38I. Toumpas
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aris have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Ethnikos Achna have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Olympiakos(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Riga(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Karmiotissa(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Krasava Ypsonas(away) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 1-4 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | MEAP Nisou(away) | 5-0 | 2. Division |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Polemidion(home) | 3-0 | 2. Division |
| Sep 12, 2026 | PAEEK(away) | 4-2 | 2. Division |
| May 15, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| May 9, 2026 | Enosis(away) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Aris wins, 0 draws, 0 Ethnikos Achna wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Ethnikos Achna 0-3 Aris | 1. Division |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Aris 3-0 Ethnikos Achna | 1. Division |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Aris 6-1 Ethnikos Achna | 1. Division |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Ethnikos Achna 1-2 Aris | 1. Division |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Ethnikos Achna 2-6 Aris | 1. Division |
| Jan 25, 2024 | Ethnikos Achna 1-2 Aris | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Ethnikos Achna vs Aris on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aris score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ethnikos Achna score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aris | 1.1 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Ethnikos Achna | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Aris vs Ethnikos Achna?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aris vs Ethnikos Achna?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ethnikos Achna the favourite at 44%, against 21% for a draw and 35% for Aris.
- Where and when is Aris vs Ethnikos Achna played?
- Aris vs Ethnikos Achna is played on October 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Alphamega Stadium, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.