AFAD vs East End Lions: prediction and stats
CAF Confederation Cup1st Preliminary RoundKick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Robert Champroux, Abidjan
The Footlab model makes AFAD the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for East End Lions. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 17, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFAD vs East End Lions?
AFAD starts as the favourite with a 223-point Elo edge (1,716 vs 1,493).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFAD have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; East End Lions have 0, 0 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | SOL(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Olympique Sport d'Abobo(home) | 8-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | SOA(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | Stade d'Abidjan(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Mouna(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2025 | US Monastirienne(away) | 1-3 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 21, 2025 | US Monastirienne(home) | 0-4 | CAF Champions League |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Jaraaf(away) | 0-3 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Jaraaf(home) | 0-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
AFAD score 1.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; East End Lions score 0.3 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFAD | 1.8 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| East End Lions | 0.3 | 2.8 | 0 | 1/4 | 3/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFAD vs East End Lions?
- The Footlab model makes AFAD the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for East End Lions.
- Where and when is AFAD vs East End Lions played?
- AFAD vs East End Lions is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Robert Champroux, in the CAF Confederation Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.