AFC Emley vs Alfreton Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 41Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Welfare Ground, Emley, West Yorkshire
The Footlab AI model makes AFC Emley the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Alfreton Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If AFC Emley wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,338 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Emley vs Alfreton Town?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate AFC Emley (1,605) and Alfreton Town (1,630).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AFC Emley vs Alfreton Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AFC Emley
Not enough data to predict the AFC Emley lineup.
Alfreton Town
Not enough data to predict the Alfreton Town lineup.
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 12:35 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Emley have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Alfreton Town have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Whitby Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Alfreton Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Lancaster City(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Stockton Town(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026 | Workington(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 6, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 31, 2026 | AFC Emley(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Mickleover Sports(away) | 2-1 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Warrington Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 AFC Emley wins, 0 draws, 2 Alfreton Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Alfreton Town 2-1 AFC Emley | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Alfreton Town 1-0 AFC Emley | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Alfreton Town vs AFC Emley on Oct 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Emley score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Alfreton Town score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Emley | 1.1 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Alfreton Town | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Emley sit 12th in Non League Premier - Northern (23 points from 18 matches) and Alfreton Town sit 11th (23 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Alfreton Town | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 25 | 23 |
| 12 | AFC Emley | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 29 | 23 |
A question about AFC Emley vs Alfreton Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Emley vs Alfreton Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes AFC Emley the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Alfreton Town.
- Where and when is AFC Emley vs Alfreton Town played?
- AFC Emley vs Alfreton Town is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Welfare Ground, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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