Match

Whitby Town vs AFC Emley: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 42Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Towbar Express Stadium at the Turnbull Ground, Whitby, North Yorkshire

Whitby TownAFC Emley

The Footlab model makes AFC Emley the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Whitby Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Whitby Town vs AFC Emley?

A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Whitby Town (1,678) and AFC Emley (1,763).

Whitby Town win33 %
Draw28 %
AFC Emley win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Whitby Town have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; AFC Emley have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Whitby Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Cleethorpes Town(away)0-6Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 22, 2026Warrington Town(home)0-5Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026Ashton United(away)0-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026Ilkeston Town(home)2-0Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026Guiseley AFC(home)0-2Non League Premier - Northern
AFC Emley
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Redcar Athletic(away)0-0Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 22, 2026Ashton United(home)1-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026Leek Town(away)2-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 14, 2026Curzon Ashton(home)2-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026Ilkeston Town(home)1-2Non League Premier - Northern

How many goals should we expect?

Whitby Town score 0.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Emley score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Whitby Town0.82.136/158/15
AFC Emley1.21.148/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Whitby Town sit 17th in Non League Premier - Northern (6 points from 6 matches) and AFC Emley sit 10th (9 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10AFC Emley6231659
17Whitby Town62044166

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Whitby Town vs AFC Emley?
The Footlab model makes AFC Emley the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Whitby Town.
Where and when is Whitby Town vs AFC Emley played?
Whitby Town vs AFC Emley is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Towbar Express Stadium at the Turnbull Ground, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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