Whitby Town vs AFC Emley: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 42Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Towbar Express Stadium at the Turnbull Ground, Whitby, North Yorkshire
The Footlab model makes AFC Emley the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Whitby Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Whitby Town vs AFC Emley?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Whitby Town (1,678) and AFC Emley (1,763).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Whitby Town have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; AFC Emley have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(away) | 0-6 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Warrington Town(home) | 0-5 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ashton United(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Leek Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
How many goals should we expect?
Whitby Town score 0.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Emley score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whitby Town | 0.8 | 2.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| AFC Emley | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Whitby Town sit 17th in Non League Premier - Northern (6 points from 6 matches) and AFC Emley sit 10th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | AFC Emley | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 17 | Whitby Town | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Whitby Town vs AFC Emley?
- The Footlab model makes AFC Emley the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Whitby Town.
- Where and when is Whitby Town vs AFC Emley played?
- Whitby Town vs AFC Emley is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Towbar Express Stadium at the Turnbull Ground, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027BuryvsBamber Bridge
- Apr 17, 2027Alfreton TownvsQuorn
- Apr 17, 2027Gainsborough TrinityvsRylands
- Apr 17, 2027Curzon AshtonvsStockton Town
- Apr 17, 2027Ilkeston TownvsLeek Town
- Apr 17, 2027Cleethorpes TownvsLancaster City
- Apr 17, 2027Ashton UnitedvsWorkington
- Apr 17, 2027United of ManchestervsGuiseley AFC