Leek Town vs Curzon Ashton: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 41Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)F. Ball Community Stadium, Leek, Staffordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Leek Town the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Curzon Ashton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Leek Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,515 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leek Town vs Curzon Ashton?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Leek Town (1,768) and Curzon Ashton (1,808).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Leek Town vs Curzon Ashton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Leek Town
Not enough data to predict the Leek Town lineup.
Curzon Ashton
4-3-3- 9J. Spencer
- 7I. Buckley-Ricketts
- 17M. Afuye
- 4M. Poscha
- 11W. Hayhurst
- 11I. Sinclair
- 2Oluwatimilehin Sobowale
- 19J. Richards
- 15M. Litherland
- 3Luis Frances John Lacey
- 13J. Ollerenshaw
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 03:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leek Town have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Curzon Ashton have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Bury(away) | 3-5 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bootle(home) | 4-1 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Lancaster City(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | United of Manchester(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Leek Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bridlington Town(away) | 2-2 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Whitby Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Leek Town wins, 0 draws, 1 Curzon Ashton win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Curzon Ashton 2-1 Leek Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Curzon Ashton vs Leek Town on Oct 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leek Town score 2.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Curzon Ashton score 2.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leek Town | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
| Curzon Ashton | 2.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leek Town sit 19th in Non League Premier - Northern (14 points from 16 matches) and Curzon Ashton sit 4th (31 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Curzon Ashton | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 31 |
| 19 | Leek Town | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 31 | 37 | 14 |
A question about Leek Town vs Curzon Ashton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leek Town vs Curzon Ashton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Leek Town the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Curzon Ashton.
- Where and when is Leek Town vs Curzon Ashton played?
- Leek Town vs Curzon Ashton is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at F. Ball Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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