Where and when is Leek Town vs Curzon Ashton played?

Leek Town vs Curzon Ashton is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at F. Ball Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Leek Town vs Curzon Ashton: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 41Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)F. Ball Community Stadium, Leek, Staffordshire

Leek Town

Curzon Ashton

The Footlab model makes Leek Town the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Curzon Ashton. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Leek Town vs Curzon Ashton?

A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Leek Town (1,777) and Curzon Ashton (1,710).

Leek Town win48 %

Draw26 %

Curzon Ashton win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leek Town have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Curzon Ashton have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Leek Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Bamber Bridge(home)	4-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026	AFC Emley(home)	1-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026	Stockton Town(away)	1-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026	United of Manchester(away)	1-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026	Whitby Town(home)	1-2	Non League Premier - Northern

Curzon Ashton
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Warrington Town(away)	4-0	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 22, 2026	Guiseley AFC(home)	1-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026	Bamber Bridge(home)	2-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 14, 2026	AFC Emley(away)	1-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026	Bury(away)	2-3	Non League Premier - Northern

How many goals should we expect?

Leek Town score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Curzon Ashton score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Leek Town	1.5	1.0	5	9/15	5/15
Curzon Ashton	1.3	1.9	4	8/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Leek Town sit 18th in Non League Premier - Northern (5 points from 5 matches) and Curzon Ashton sit 11th (7 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Curzon Ashton	6	2	1	3	11	9	7
18	Leek Town	5	1	2	2	8	7	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Leek Town vs Curzon Ashton?: The Footlab model makes Leek Town the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Curzon Ashton.
Where and when is Leek Town vs Curzon Ashton played?: Leek Town vs Curzon Ashton is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at F. Ball Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.