Where and when is Workington vs Bury played?

Workington vs Bury is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Borough Park, in the Non League Premier - Northern.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Workington vs Bury: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 41Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Borough Park, Workington, Cumbria

Workington

Bury

The Footlab model makes Bury the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Workington. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Workington vs Bury?

Bury starts as the favourite with a 204-point Elo edge (1,897 vs 1,693).

Workington win25 %

Draw26 %

Bury win48 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Workington have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Bury have 10, 2 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Workington
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Rylands(home)	3-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 22, 2026	United of Manchester(away)	2-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 19, 2026	Avro(away)	1-4	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026	Guiseley AFC(home)	2-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026	Redcar Athletic(home)	0-1	Non League Premier - Northern

Bury
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Lancaster City(home)	0-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 22, 2026	Gainsborough Trinity(away)	1-0	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026	Guiseley AFC(away)	2-3	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026	Rylands(home)	1-0	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026	Curzon Ashton(home)	3-2	Non League Premier - Northern

How many goals should we expect?

Workington score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bury score 1.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Workington	1.3	1.5	3	7/15	8/15
Bury	1.9	0.8	6	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Workington sit 12th in Non League Premier - Northern (7 points from 6 matches) and Bury sit 8th (10 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Bury	6	3	1	2	7	6	10
12	Workington	6	2	1	3	8	12	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Workington vs Bury?: The Footlab model makes Bury the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Workington.
Where and when is Workington vs Bury played?: Workington vs Bury is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Borough Park, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.