Workington vs Bury: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 41Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Borough Park, Workington, Cumbria
The Footlab AI model makes Bury the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Workington. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bury wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,577 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Workington vs Bury?
Bury starts as the favourite with a 167-point Elo edge (1,958 vs 1,791).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Workington vs Bury
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Workington
Not enough data to predict the Workington lineup.
Bury
Not enough data to predict the Bury lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 07:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Workington have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Bury have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Whitby Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Harrogate Town(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alfreton Town(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Stockton Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(home) | 4-3 | FA Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Workington wins, 0 draws, 1 Bury win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bury 5-1 Workington | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Workington score 2.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Bury score 2.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Workington | 2.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Bury | 2.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Workington sit 6th in Non League Premier - Northern (24 points from 15 matches) and Bury sit 12th (19 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Workington | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 25 | 24 |
| 12 | Bury | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 11 | 19 |
A question about Workington vs Bury?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Workington vs Bury?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bury the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Workington.
- Where and when is Workington vs Bury played?
- Workington vs Bury is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Borough Park, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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