Alfreton Town vs Quorn: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 42Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Impact Arena, Alfreton, Derbyshire
The Footlab model makes Alfreton Town the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Quorn. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alfreton Town vs Quorn?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Alfreton Town (1,717) and Quorn (1,768).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alfreton Town have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Quorn have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Hyde United(home) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stockton Town(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Avro(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lancaster City(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(home) | 0-5 | Non League Premier - Northern |
How many goals should we expect?
Alfreton Town score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Quorn score 1.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfreton Town | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Quorn | 1.0 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alfreton Town sit 9th in Non League Premier - Northern (9 points from 6 matches) and Quorn sit 21st (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Alfreton Town | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 9 |
| 21 | Quorn | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alfreton Town vs Quorn?
- The Footlab model makes Alfreton Town the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Quorn.
- Where and when is Alfreton Town vs Quorn played?
- Alfreton Town vs Quorn is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Impact Arena, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027BuryvsBamber Bridge
- Apr 17, 2027Gainsborough TrinityvsRylands
- Apr 17, 2027Curzon AshtonvsStockton Town
- Apr 17, 2027Ilkeston TownvsLeek Town
- Apr 17, 2027Cleethorpes TownvsLancaster City
- Apr 17, 2027Ashton UnitedvsWorkington
- Apr 17, 2027United of ManchestervsGuiseley AFC
- Apr 17, 2027Warrington TownvsAvro