AFC Emley vs Gainsborough Trinity: result 1-2 and analysis
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Welfare Ground, Emley, West Yorkshire
Full time
What was the result of AFC Emley vs Gainsborough Trinity?
Gainsborough Trinity won 1-2 on October 10, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 47′?AFC Emley
- 60′Arafat Al HajGainsborough Trinity (pen.)
- 78′Harrison BeedenGainsborough Trinity
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Gainsborough Trinity win at 55%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Emley have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Gainsborough Trinity have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Workington(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bootle(away) | 0-5 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(home) | 0-4 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bury(away) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Whitby Town(away) | 6-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(home) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bury(away) | 3-4 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Leamington(home) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Leamington(away) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Emley score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gainsborough Trinity score 2.2 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Emley | 0.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Gainsborough Trinity | 2.2 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Emley sit 19th in Non League Premier - Northern (11 points from 13 matches) and Gainsborough Trinity sit 6th (22 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Gainsborough Trinity | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 22 |
| 19 | AFC Emley | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25 | 11 |
A question about AFC Emley vs Gainsborough Trinity?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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- Oct 10, 2026Curzon Ashton2-0Hyde United
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- Oct 10, 2026Cleethorpes Town3-0Rylands
- Oct 10, 2026Warrington Town2-2Lancaster City
- Oct 10, 2026Whitby Town0-0Bamber Bridge
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