AFC Emley vs Stockton Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 35Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Welfare Ground, Emley, West Yorkshire
The Footlab model makes AFC Emley the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Stockton Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Emley vs Stockton Town?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate AFC Emley (1,724) and Stockton Town (1,782).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Emley have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Stockton Town have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Leek Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Alfreton Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leek Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Emley score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Stockton Town score 0.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Emley | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Stockton Town | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Emley sit 10th in Non League Premier - Northern (9 points from 6 matches) and Stockton Town sit 20th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | AFC Emley | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 20 | Stockton Town | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Emley vs Stockton Town?
- The Footlab model makes AFC Emley the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Stockton Town.
- Where and when is AFC Emley vs Stockton Town played?
- AFC Emley vs Stockton Town is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Welfare Ground, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.