Lancaster City vs AFC Emley: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 36Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Giant Axe Stadium, Lancaster, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Lancaster City the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for AFC Emley. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lancaster City wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,598 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lancaster City vs AFC Emley?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Lancaster City (1,787) and AFC Emley (1,706).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lancaster City vs AFC Emley
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lancaster City
Not enough data to predict the Lancaster City lineup.
AFC Emley
Not enough data to predict the AFC Emley lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lancaster City have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; AFC Emley have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Leek Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Stockton Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Avro(away) | 3-5 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Stockton Town(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | United of Manchester(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Workington(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
How many goals should we expect?
Lancaster City score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Emley score 1.0 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lancaster City | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| AFC Emley | 1.0 | 2.2 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lancaster City sit 10th in Non League Premier - Northern (20 points from 14 matches) and AFC Emley sit 19th (11 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lancaster City | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 26 | 20 |
| 19 | AFC Emley | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25 | 11 |
A question about Lancaster City vs AFC Emley?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lancaster City vs AFC Emley?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lancaster City the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for AFC Emley.
- Where and when is Lancaster City vs AFC Emley played?
- Lancaster City vs AFC Emley is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Giant Axe Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027BuryvsWarrington Town
- Mar 13, 2027Alfreton TownvsWorkington
- Mar 13, 2027Gainsborough TrinityvsLeek Town
- Mar 13, 2027Ilkeston TownvsCurzon Ashton
- Mar 13, 2027Ashton UnitedvsGuiseley AFC
- Mar 13, 2027Bamber BridgevsRedcar Athletic
- Mar 13, 2027United of ManchestervsCleethorpes Town
- Mar 13, 2027Whitby TownvsAvro