Cleethorpes Town vs Bury: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 35Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The myenergi Stadium, Grimsby, Lincolnshire
The Footlab model makes Bury the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Cleethorpes Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cleethorpes Town vs Bury?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Cleethorpes Town (1,830) and Bury (1,897).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cleethorpes Town have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Bury have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Whitby Town(home) | 6-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Alfreton Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 5-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Lancaster City(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rylands(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
How many goals should we expect?
Cleethorpes Town score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bury score 1.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleethorpes Town | 1.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Bury | 1.9 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cleethorpes Town sit 1st in Non League Premier - Northern (13 points from 5 matches) and Bury sit 7th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes Town | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Bury | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cleethorpes Town vs Bury?
- The Footlab model makes Bury the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Cleethorpes Town.
- Where and when is Cleethorpes Town vs Bury played?
- Cleethorpes Town vs Bury is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The myenergi Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.