Warrington Town vs Alfreton Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 35Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Cal.Delivery Stadium, Latchford, Warrington
The Footlab model makes Warrington Town the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Alfreton Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Warrington Town vs Alfreton Town?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Warrington Town (1,706) and Alfreton Town (1,717).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warrington Town have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Alfreton Town have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(home) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Whitby Town(away) | 5-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hyde United(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Hyde United(home) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stockton Town(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Avro(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Warrington Town win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Alfreton Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | Alfreton Town 2-2 Warrington Town | National League - North |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Warrington Town 0-1 Alfreton Town | National League - North |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Warrington Town 2-2 Alfreton Town | National League - North |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Alfreton Town 1-1 Warrington Town | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Alfreton Town vs Warrington Town on Mar 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Warrington Town score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Alfreton Town score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warrington Town | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Alfreton Town | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Warrington Town sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Northern (13 points from 6 matches) and Alfreton Town sit 9th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warrington Town | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 13 |
| 9 | Alfreton Town | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Warrington Town vs Alfreton Town?
- The Footlab model makes Warrington Town the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Alfreton Town.
- Where and when is Warrington Town vs Alfreton Town played?
- Warrington Town vs Alfreton Town is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Cal.Delivery Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.