AFC Eskilstuna vs Gefle IF: prediction and stats
Ettan - NorraNorra - 23Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Tunavallen, Eskilstuna
The Footlab model makes AFC Eskilstuna the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Gefle IF. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Eskilstuna vs Gefle IF?
AFC Eskilstuna starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,683 vs 1,549).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Eskilstuna have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Gefle IF have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Karlberg(away) | 3-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Oddevold(home) | 4-4 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Hammarby Talang(home) | 1-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Umeå FC(away) | 3-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Umeå FC(home) | 1-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Assyriska FF(away) | 2-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Umeå FC(home) | 2-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stocksund(away) | 0-5 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Piteå(away) | 2-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Stocksund(home) | 2-1 | Ettan - Norra |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 AFC Eskilstuna win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Gefle IF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Gefle IF 4-3 AFC Eskilstuna | Ettan - Norra |
| Sep 13, 2025 | AFC Eskilstuna 2-0 Gefle IF | Ettan - Norra |
| May 10, 2025 | Gefle IF 2-2 AFC Eskilstuna | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 28, 2023 | AFC Eskilstuna 2-1 Gefle IF | Superettan |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Gefle IF 2-0 AFC Eskilstuna | Superettan |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Gefle IF 1-2 AFC Eskilstuna | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Gefle IF vs AFC Eskilstuna on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Eskilstuna score 2.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Gefle IF score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Eskilstuna | 2.0 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Gefle IF | 1.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Eskilstuna sit 5th in Ettan - Norra (31 points from 18 matches) and Gefle IF sit 11th (23 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | AFC Eskilstuna | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 31 |
| 11 | Gefle IF | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 35 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Eskilstuna vs Gefle IF?
- The Footlab model makes AFC Eskilstuna the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Gefle IF.
- Where and when is AFC Eskilstuna vs Gefle IF played?
- AFC Eskilstuna vs Gefle IF is played on September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Tunavallen, in the Ettan - Norra.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.