Vasalund vs Assyriska FF: prediction and stats
Ettan - NorraNorra - 23Kick-off on September 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Skytteholms IP, Solna
The Footlab model makes Vasalund the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Assyriska FF. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vasalund vs Assyriska FF?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Vasalund (1,638) and Assyriska FF (1,602).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vasalund have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Assyriska FF have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Stocksund(home) | 4-3 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 20, 2026 | IFK Norrkoping(home) | 1-2 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Piteå(away) | 1-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Stockholm Internazionale(home) | 2-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Sollentuna(home) | 1-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gefle IF(home) | 1-2 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 15, 2026 | IF Karlstad(away) | 2-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sollentuna(home) | 3-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FBK Karlstad(away) | 2-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Jul 19, 2026 | AFC Eskilstuna(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Vasalund win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Assyriska FF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2026 | Assyriska FF 3-1 Vasalund | Ettan - Norra |
| May 28, 2026 | Assyriska FF 0-1 Vasalund | Svenska Cupen |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Vasalund 1-1 Assyriska FF | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Vasalund 1-2 Assyriska FF | Ettan - Norra |
| May 5, 2025 | Assyriska FF 3-0 Vasalund | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Vasalund 2-1 Assyriska FF | Ettan - Norra |
Last archived meeting: Assyriska FF vs Vasalund on Jun 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vasalund score 1.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Assyriska FF score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasalund | 1.4 | 1.8 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Assyriska FF | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vasalund sit 10th in Ettan - Norra (23 points from 18 matches) and Assyriska FF sit 9th (23 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Assyriska FF | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 30 | 31 | 23 |
| 10 | Vasalund | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vasalund vs Assyriska FF?
- The Footlab model makes Vasalund the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Assyriska FF.
- Where and when is Vasalund vs Assyriska FF played?
- Vasalund vs Assyriska FF is played on September 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Skytteholms IP, in the Ettan - Norra.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.