Stocksund vs Umeå FC: prediction and stats
Ettan - NorraNorra - 23Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Danderyds Gymnasium, Danderyd
The Footlab model makes Stocksund the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Umeå FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stocksund vs Umeå FC?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Stocksund (1,506) and Umeå FC (1,534).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stocksund have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Umeå FC have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vasalund(away) | 3-4 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Karlberg(away) | 0-2 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gefle IF(home) | 5-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Karlberg(home) | 0-2 | Ettan - Norra |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sollentuna(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Enköping(home) | 0-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gefle IF(away) | 0-2 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 9, 2026 | AFC Eskilstuna(home) | 1-3 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 2, 2026 | AFC Eskilstuna(away) | 0-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Täfteå(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Stocksund win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Umeå FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Umeå FC 2-2 Stocksund | Ettan - Norra |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Stocksund 1-1 Umeå FC | Ettan - Norra |
| May 9, 2024 | Umeå FC 4-2 Stocksund | Ettan - Norra |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Umeå FC 3-5 Stocksund | Ettan - Norra |
| Jun 4, 2023 | Stocksund 0-1 Umeå FC | Ettan - Norra |
How many goals should we expect?
Stocksund score 1.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Umeå FC score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stocksund | 1.8 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Umeå FC | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stocksund sit 16th in Ettan - Norra (11 points from 18 matches) and Umeå FC sit 13th (17 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Umeå FC | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | 17 |
| 16 | Stocksund | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 36 | 44 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stocksund vs Umeå FC?
- The Footlab model makes Stocksund the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Umeå FC.
- Where and when is Stocksund vs Umeå FC played?
- Stocksund vs Umeå FC is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Danderyds Gymnasium, in the Ettan - Norra.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.