Tamworth vs Hartlepool: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Lamb Ground, Tamworth, Staffordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Tamworth the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Hartlepool. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tamworth wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,456 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tamworth vs Hartlepool?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Tamworth (1,810) and Hartlepool (1,748).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tamworth vs Hartlepool
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tamworth
4-3-3- 10K. Donnelly
- 23J. Hutchinson
- 9D. Creaney
- 16R. Calder
- 19T. McGlinchey
- 4T. Kurtaran
- 12J. Rye
- 14O. Dyson
- 5T. Parkes
- 3T. Handley
- 39R. Lovett
Hartlepool
4-3-3- 19C. Popov
- 10W. Harris
- 9J. Hugill
- 42Cole Deeming
- 4J. Hunter
- 14N. Sheron
- 6R. McNally
- 12Neo Eccleston
- 3C. John
- 2J. Benn
- 32N. Fisher
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tamworth have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Hartlepool have 3, 0 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Barrow(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Leeds United U21(home) | 1-0 | National League Cup |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hartlepool(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Sutton Utd(home) | 2-0 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Aldershot Town(away) | 1-5 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Newcastle United U21(home) | 1-2 | National League Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Forest Green(away) | 4-2 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tamworth(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Harrogate Town(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Scunthorpe(away) | 1-4 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tamworth win, 4 draws, 1 Hartlepool win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hartlepool 0-1 Tamworth | National League |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Tamworth 1-1 Hartlepool | National League |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Hartlepool 1-1 Tamworth | National League |
| Feb 11, 2025 | Hartlepool 2-2 Tamworth | National League |
| Dec 10, 2024 | Hartlepool 1-1 Tamworth | FA Trophy |
| Aug 20, 2024 | Tamworth 0-1 Hartlepool | National League |
Last archived meeting: Hartlepool vs Tamworth on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tamworth score 1.7 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Hartlepool score 0.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamworth | 1.7 | 2.2 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Hartlepool | 0.7 | 2.1 | 2 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tamworth sit 18th in National League (14 points from 13 matches) and Hartlepool sit 20th (12 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Tamworth | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 30 | 14 |
| 20 | Hartlepool | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 12 | 19 | 12 |
A question about Tamworth vs Hartlepool?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tamworth vs Hartlepool?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tamworth the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Hartlepool.
- Where and when is Tamworth vs Hartlepool played?
- Tamworth vs Hartlepool is played on December 19, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Lamb Ground, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.