AFC Hornchurch vs Barrow: prediction and stats
National LeagueMatchday 28Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Hornchurch Stadium, London
The Footlab AI model makes AFC Hornchurch the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Barrow. The most likely score is 1-1. If AFC Hornchurch wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,715 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Hornchurch vs Barrow?
On Elo ratings, AFC Hornchurch has 1,745 points and Barrow 1,693.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AFC Hornchurch vs Barrow
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AFC Hornchurch
3-4-3- 10Á. Balanta
- 30R. Loft
- 7J. Walker
- 14Charlie Pegrum
- 8T. Wraight
- 27Alfie Massey
- 18M. Weston
- 2W. Greenidge
- 6T. Dallison-Lisbon
- 5J. Baldwin
- 1A. Nasta
Barrow
4-3-3- 36T. Latty-Fairweather
- 33Xavier Deandrae Benjamin
- 14Sebastian Blake Thompson
- 26R. Harper
- 10K. Ward
- 5C. Edwards
- 2M. Oakley
- 19A. Allen
- 26P. Kalambayi
- 11George Walker
- 1B. Winterbottom
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 04:58 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Hornchurch have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Barrow have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Blackpool(home) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Nov 3, 2026 | West Ham United U21(home) | 2-0 | National League Cup |
| Oct 30, 2026 | AFC Fylde(away) | 1-3 | National League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Yeovil Town(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Hartlepool(away) | 1-2 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Gillingham(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Eastleigh(home) | 1-1 | National League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(away) | 3-2 | National League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Gloucester City(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Gloucester City(home) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 AFC Hornchurch win, 0 draws, 0 Barrow wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Barrow 1-2 AFC Hornchurch | National League |
Last archived meeting: Barrow vs AFC Hornchurch on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Hornchurch score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Barrow score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Hornchurch | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Barrow | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Hornchurch sit 15th in National League (21 points from 16 matches) and Barrow sit 9th (25 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Barrow | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 25 |
| 15 | AFC Hornchurch | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 18 | 26 | 21 |
A question about AFC Hornchurch vs Barrow?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Hornchurch vs Barrow?
- The Footlab AI model makes AFC Hornchurch the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Barrow.
- Where and when is AFC Hornchurch vs Barrow played?
- AFC Hornchurch vs Barrow is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Hornchurch Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.