AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool: prediction and stats
FA Cup1/128-finalsKick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Hornchurch Stadium, London
The Footlab AI model makes AFC Hornchurch the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Blackpool. The most likely score is 1-1. If AFC Hornchurch wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,545 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate AFC Hornchurch (1,813) and Blackpool (1,752).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AFC Hornchurch
4-3-3- 11H. Sandat
- 30R. Loft
- 18M. Weston
- 14Charlie Pegrum
- 8T. Wraight
- 27Alfie Massey
- 2W. Greenidge
- 5J. Baldwin
- 6T. Dallison-Lisbon
- 3R. Inniss
- 1A. Nasta
Blackpool
4-1-3-2- 18D. Taylor
- 14T. Bloxham
- 8A. Morgan
- 7L. Clarkson
- 17Karoy Anderson
- 11J. Bowler
- 3Z. Ashworth
- 4O. Casey
- 28J. Williams
- 2A. Lyons
- 1B. Peacock-Farrell
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 10:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Hornchurch have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Blackpool have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | West Ham United U21(home) | 2-0 | National League Cup |
| Oct 30, 2026 | AFC Fylde(away) | 1-3 | National League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Yeovil Town(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Hartlepool(away) | 1-2 | National League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Uxbridge(away) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Aston Villa U21(home) | 3-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Mansfield Town(home) | 1-4 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons(home) | 2-0 | League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Leyton Orient(away) | 0-2 | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Hornchurch score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Blackpool score 1.6 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Hornchurch | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Blackpool | 1.6 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool?
- The Footlab AI model makes AFC Hornchurch the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Blackpool.
- Where and when is AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool played?
- AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Hornchurch Stadium, in the FA Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.