Oxford United vs Stevenage: prediction and stats
FA Cup1/128-finalsKick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Kassam Stadium, Oxford, Oxfordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Oxford United the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Stevenage. The most likely score is 1-1. If Oxford United wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,601 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oxford United vs Stevenage?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Oxford United (1,857) and Stevenage (1,836).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Oxford United vs Stevenage
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Oxford United
4-2-3-1- 9M. Harris
- 23S. Dembélé
- 11T. Goodrham
- 4Kai Andrews
- 8C. Brannagan
- 32L. Sibley
- 6M. Helik
- 26J. Currie
- 3C. Brown
- 30P. Kioso
- 1J. Cumming
Stevenage
4-4-1-1- 9J. Magennis
- 8D. Phillips
- 27B. Broggio
- 23L. Thompson
- 10D. Kemp
- 18O. Sanderson
- 5C. Piergianni
- 15T. Vancooten
- 14S. Earley
- 2L. James-Wildin
- 1T. Setford
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 04:10 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oxford United have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Stevenage have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Reading(home) | 2-0 | League One |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Barnsley(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Stockport County(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Wigan(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Leicester(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bradford(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Wigan(home) | 1-0 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Oxford United wins, 2 draws, 1 Stevenage win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stevenage 1-2 Oxford United | League One |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Oxford United 1-1 Stevenage | League One |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Stevenage 1-3 Oxford United | League One |
| Oct 5, 2021 | Oxford United 1-2 Stevenage | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 29, 2017 | Stevenage 2-6 Oxford United | EFL Trophy |
| Mar 25, 2016 | Oxford United 1-1 Stevenage | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Stevenage vs Oxford United on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Oxford United score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Stevenage score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United | 1.6 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Stevenage | 1.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Oxford United vs Stevenage?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oxford United vs Stevenage?
- The Footlab AI model makes Oxford United the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Stevenage.
- Where and when is Oxford United vs Stevenage played?
- Oxford United vs Stevenage is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Kassam Stadium, in the FA Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.