Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds: prediction and stats
FA Cup1/128-finalsKick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pirelli Stadium, Burton-upon-Trent, Staffordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Burton Albion the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for AFC Rushden & Diamonds. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,585 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds?
Burton Albion starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,756 vs 1,648).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Burton Albion
3-4-2-1- 10Mark O’Mahony
- 17R. Borges Rodrigues
- 4K. Chauke
- 8C. Webster
- 41Sulyman Krubally
- 9G. Arubi
- 24Harvey Araujo
- 16C. Tilt
- 6T. Sibbick
- 20J. Sraha
- 34C. Addai
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
4-3-3- TT. Berwick
- CC. Herbert
- TT. Lorraine
- SS. Brown
- RR. Bunting
- CC. Hoban
- DD. Gordon
- OO. Wilkinson
- LL. Dolman
- JJ. Gillingwater
- MM. Finlay
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 12:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burton Albion have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; AFC Rushden & Diamonds have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Leyton Orient(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Peterborough(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Doncaster(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Morecambe(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Braintree(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Desborough Town(away) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Chasetown(away) | 1-3 | FA Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Burton Albion score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Rushden & Diamonds score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| AFC Rushden & Diamonds | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds?
- The Footlab AI model makes Burton Albion the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for AFC Rushden & Diamonds.
- Where and when is Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds played?
- Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Pirelli Stadium, in the FA Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.