Barnsley vs Aldershot Town: prediction and stats
FA Cup1/128-finalsKick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Oakwell, Barnsley, South Yorkshire
The Footlab AI model makes Barnsley the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Aldershot Town. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,515 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barnsley vs Aldershot Town?
On Elo ratings, Barnsley has 1,731 points and Aldershot Town 1,691.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Barnsley vs Aldershot Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Barnsley
4-2-3-1- 7T. Adeyemo
- 8C. McGeehan
- 19R. Cleary
- 22Patrick Kelly
- 45Vimal Yoganathan
- 48L. Connell
- 5J. Shepherd
- 2A. Kay
- 4S. Gale
- 3Z. Larkeche
- 1C. Slicker
Aldershot Town
4-3-3- 10B. Tuma
- 21B. Peart
- 11Hakeem Kwabena Owusu Sandah
- 6D. Odusanya
- 3O. Harfield
- 23C. Lawless
- 5Kiki Oshilaja
- 12Michael George Stickland
- 2M. Efete
- 17T. Dyce
- 1N. Hayes
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 05:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barnsley have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Aldershot Town have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Reading(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Luton(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Cambridge United(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Stockport County(away) | 1-3 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Ipswich Town U21(home) | 0-5 | National League Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Gateshead(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Sutton Utd(away) | 0-2 | National League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Wealdstone(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Tadley Calleva(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Barnsley score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Aldershot Town score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barnsley | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Aldershot Town | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Barnsley vs Aldershot Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barnsley vs Aldershot Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Barnsley the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Aldershot Town.
- Where and when is Barnsley vs Aldershot Town played?
- Barnsley vs Aldershot Town is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Oakwell, in the FA Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.