Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale: prediction and stats
FA Cup1/128-finalsKick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Highbury Stadium, Fleetwood, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Fleetwood Town the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Rochdale. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fleetwood Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,599 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale?
A very open match: only 1 Elo point separates Fleetwood Town (1,748) and Rochdale (1,747).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fleetwood Town
3-1-4-2- 19R. Coughlan
- 20A. Loupalo-Bi
- 10M. Helm
- 4H. Neal
- 24Jake Thomas Batty
- 14L. McCann
- 15A. Murphy
- 26S. Rooney
- 5F. Potter
- 6R. Bennett
- 1J. Lynch
Rochdale
4-2-3-1- 39D. Brown
- 45G. Middleton
- 8H. Gilmour
- 17B. Adeeko
- 7C. Hayes
- 14E. Francis
- 3Kaiden Wilson
- 44A. Flint
- 2C. Tasker
- 26S. Sherring
- 20Sam William John Waller
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 11:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fleetwood Town have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Rochdale have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Exeter City(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Cheltenham(away) | 2-4 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Port Vale(away) | 2-4 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Accrington ST(home) | 0-5 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Crewe(away) | 2-3 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Fleetwood Town wins, 2 draws, 2 Rochdale wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Fleetwood Town 1-2 Rochdale | League Two |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Fleetwood Town 1-1 Rochdale | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2021 | Rochdale 3-3 Fleetwood Town | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 10, 2021 | Fleetwood Town 1-0 Rochdale | League One |
| Oct 3, 2020 | Rochdale 2-1 Fleetwood Town | League One |
| Dec 26, 2019 | Rochdale 2-3 Fleetwood Town | League One |
Last archived meeting: Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale on Sep 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fleetwood Town score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Rochdale score 1.3 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fleetwood Town | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Rochdale | 1.3 | 2.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fleetwood Town the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Rochdale.
- Where and when is Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale played?
- Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Highbury Stadium, in the FA Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.