AFC Hornchurch vs Boreham Wood: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Hornchurch Stadium, London
The Footlab model makes Boreham Wood the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for AFC Hornchurch. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Hornchurch vs Boreham Wood?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate AFC Hornchurch (1,921) and Boreham Wood (2,015).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Hornchurch have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Boreham Wood have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Carlisle(away) | 1-4 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Norwich City U21(home) | 1-2 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Barrow(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(home) | 3-0 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Coventry City U21(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Forest Green(away) | 3-0 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Leeds United U21(home) | 5-2 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(away) | 3-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tamworth(home) | 3-3 | National League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Norwich City U21(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 AFC Hornchurch win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Boreham Wood win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2025 | AFC Hornchurch 2-1 Boreham Wood | National League - South |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Boreham Wood 1-1 AFC Hornchurch | National League - South |
| Oct 24, 2015 | Boreham Wood 2-1 AFC Hornchurch | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: AFC Hornchurch vs Boreham Wood on Feb 11, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Hornchurch score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Boreham Wood score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Hornchurch | 2.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Boreham Wood | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Hornchurch sit 7th in National League (6 points from 3 matches) and Boreham Wood sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Boreham Wood | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | AFC Hornchurch | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Hornchurch vs Boreham Wood?
- The Footlab model makes Boreham Wood the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for AFC Hornchurch.
- Where and when is AFC Hornchurch vs Boreham Wood played?
- AFC Hornchurch vs Boreham Wood is played on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Hornchurch Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.