AFC Leopards vs Shabana: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC)Nyayo National Stadium, Nairobi
The Footlab AI model makes AFC Leopards the favourite at 48%, against 30% for a draw and 22% for Shabana. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Leopards vs Shabana?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate AFC Leopards (1,589) and Shabana (1,523).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AFC Leopards vs Shabana
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AFC Leopards
Not enough data to predict the AFC Leopards lineup.
Shabana
Not enough data to predict the Shabana lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 08:02 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Leopards have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Shabana have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Kenya Police(away) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Bandari(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 31, 2026 | Bidco United(home) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | APS Bomet(away) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 16, 2026 | Homeboyz(away) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Nairobi United(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Posta Rangers FC(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 31, 2026 | KCB(home) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | Sofapaka(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Bidco United(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 AFC Leopards wins, 1 draw, 2 Shabana wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | AFC Leopards 5-1 Shabana | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Shabana 1-2 AFC Leopards | FKF Premier League |
| Mar 16, 2025 | AFC Leopards 1-1 Shabana | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 27, 2024 | Shabana 2-1 AFC Leopards | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 15, 2024 | Shabana 4-3 AFC Leopards | FKF Premier League |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Shabana 0-1 AFC Leopards | Shield Cup |
Last archived meeting: AFC Leopards vs Shabana on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Leopards score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Shabana score 0.6 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Leopards | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Shabana | 0.6 | 0.8 | 8 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Leopards sit 4th in FKF Premier League (4 points from 2 matches) and Shabana sit 6th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | AFC Leopards | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Shabana | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
A question about AFC Leopards vs Shabana?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Leopards vs Shabana?
- The Footlab AI model makes AFC Leopards the favourite at 48%, against 30% for a draw and 22% for Shabana.
- Where and when is AFC Leopards vs Shabana played?
- AFC Leopards vs Shabana is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC) at Nyayo National Stadium, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.