Nairobi United vs APS Bomet: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Nyayo National Stadium, Nairobi
The Footlab AI model makes Nairobi United the favourite at 48%, against 30% for a draw and 22% for APS Bomet. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,921 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nairobi United vs APS Bomet?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Nairobi United (1,539) and APS Bomet (1,509).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nairobi United vs APS Bomet
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nairobi United
4-3-3- 33B. Ochieng
- 5S. Mwinyi
- 10H. Muhadjiri
- 29D. Odhiambo
- 24L. Owino
- 26B. Mzee
- 34L. Ogutu
- 2Y. Mainge
- 12K. Otiende
- 4J. Otieno
- 32K. Oduor
APS Bomet
Not enough data to predict the APS Bomet lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 04:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nairobi United have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; APS Bomet have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Shabana(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | KCB(home) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 31, 2026 | GOR Mahia(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | Police(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 16, 2026 | Posta Rangers FC(home) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | GOR Mahia(home) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mathare United(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 31, 2026 | Tusker(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | AFC Leopards(home) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 20, 2026 | Bandari(away) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Nairobi United win, 2 draws, 1 APS Bomet win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | APS Bomet 0-0 Nairobi United | FKF Premier League |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Nairobi United 1-2 APS Bomet | FKF Premier League |
| Mar 16, 2025 | APS Bomet 0-0 Nairobi United | Super League |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Nairobi United 1-0 APS Bomet | Super League |
Last archived meeting: APS Bomet vs Nairobi United on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nairobi United score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; APS Bomet score 1.0 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nairobi United | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| APS Bomet | 1.0 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nairobi United sit 10th in FKF Premier League (2 points from 2 matches) and APS Bomet sit 15th (1 point from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nairobi United | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 15 | APS Bomet | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
A question about Nairobi United vs APS Bomet?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nairobi United vs APS Bomet?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nairobi United the favourite at 48%, against 30% for a draw and 22% for APS Bomet.
- Where and when is Nairobi United vs APS Bomet played?
- Nairobi United vs APS Bomet is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Nyayo National Stadium, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.