AFC Telford United vs Spalding United: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)New Bucks Head Ground, Telford, Shropshire
The Footlab model makes Spalding United the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for AFC Telford United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Telford United vs Spalding United?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate AFC Telford United (1,859) and Spalding United (1,938).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Telford United have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Spalding United have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hednesford Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Merthyr Town(away) | 2-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Worksop Town(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brackley Town(home) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tamworth(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chester(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Macclesfield(home) | 0-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oxford City(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Radcliffe(away) | 2-0 | National League - North |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 AFC Telford United win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Spalding United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | AFC Telford United 1-1 Spalding United | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Spalding United 0-1 AFC Telford United | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: AFC Telford United vs Spalding United on Apr 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Telford United score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Spalding United score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Telford United | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Spalding United | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Telford United sit 22nd in National League - North (2 points from 4 matches) and Spalding United sit 13th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Spalding United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 22 | AFC Telford United | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Telford United vs Spalding United?
- The Footlab model makes Spalding United the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for AFC Telford United.
- Where and when is AFC Telford United vs Spalding United played?
- AFC Telford United vs Spalding United is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at New Bucks Head Ground, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.