AFC Totton vs Chesham United: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Snows Stadium, Totton, Hampshire
The Footlab model makes Chesham United the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for AFC Totton. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Totton vs Chesham United?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate AFC Totton (1,791) and Chesham United (1,792).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Totton have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Chesham United have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 0-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Billericay Town(home) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Sutton Utd(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Farnborough(home) | 1-6 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 2-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(away) | 0-3 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 AFC Totton win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Chesham United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | Chesham United 1-2 AFC Totton | National League - South |
| Sep 2, 2025 | AFC Totton 1-1 Chesham United | National League - South |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Chesham United 2-0 AFC Totton | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Dec 2, 2023 | AFC Totton 2-2 Chesham United | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Chesham United vs AFC Totton on Mar 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Totton score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chesham United score 1.8 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Totton | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Chesham United | 1.8 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Totton sit 11th in National League - South (6 points from 3 matches) and Chesham United sit 18th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | AFC Totton | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 18 | Chesham United | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Totton vs Chesham United?
- The Footlab model makes Chesham United the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for AFC Totton.
- Where and when is AFC Totton vs Chesham United played?
- AFC Totton vs Chesham United is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Snows Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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