Match

Chelmsford City vs Maidenhead: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Melbourne Stadium, Chelmsford, Essex

Chelmsford CityMaidenhead

The Footlab model makes Chelmsford City the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Maidenhead. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chelmsford City vs Maidenhead?

A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Chelmsford City (1,838) and Maidenhead (1,811).

Chelmsford City win45 %
Draw28 %
Maidenhead win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chelmsford City have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Maidenhead have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chelmsford City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Folkestone Invicta(away)1-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Truro City(home)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town(away)1-1National League - South
Apr 25, 2026Eastbourne Borough(home)1-3National League - South
Apr 18, 2026Chesham United(away)2-0National League - South
Maidenhead
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Farnborough(home)1-1National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town(away)1-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Dorking Wanderers(home)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Truro City(away)0-2National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Brackley Town(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Chelmsford City win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Maidenhead win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 11, 2026Chelmsford City 1-1 MaidenheadNational League - South
Sep 6, 2025Maidenhead 2-1 Chelmsford CityNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Chelmsford City vs Maidenhead on Apr 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chelmsford City score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Maidenhead score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chelmsford City1.51.459/156/15
Maidenhead0.91.247/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chelmsford City sit 17th in National League - South (3 points from 3 matches) and Maidenhead sit 14th (5 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Maidenhead4121235
17Chelmsford City3030223

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chelmsford City vs Maidenhead?
The Footlab model makes Chelmsford City the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Maidenhead.
Where and when is Chelmsford City vs Maidenhead played?
Chelmsford City vs Maidenhead is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Melbourne Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Chelmsford City and Maidenhead

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