Match

Dover vs Braintree: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Perrys Crabble Stadium, Dover, Kent

DoverBraintree

The Footlab model makes Dover the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Braintree. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Dover vs Braintree?

A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Dover (1,722) and Braintree (1,636).

Dover win54 %
Draw23 %
Braintree win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dover have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Braintree have 2, 3 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Dover
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Weston-super-Mare(away)3-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Tonbridge Angels(home)0-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Slough Town(home)5-3National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Billericay Town(away)0-2National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Carshalton Athletic(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Braintree
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Horsham(home)1-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Ipswich Town U21(home)1-1National League Cup
Aug 15, 2026Chesham United(home)3-2National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Tonbridge Angels(home)0-4National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Aldershot Town(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Dover win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Braintree win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 3, 2024Braintree 3-0 DoverNational League - South
Aug 19, 2023Dover 1-1 BraintreeNational League - South
Apr 1, 2023Braintree 1-3 DoverNational League - South
Oct 8, 2022Dover 3-1 BraintreeNational League - South
Mar 2, 2019Dover 3-0 BraintreeNational League
Oct 27, 2018Braintree 2-1 DoverNational League

Last archived meeting: Braintree vs Dover on Feb 3, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Dover score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Braintree score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Dover1.21.827/158/15
Braintree1.52.3212/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Dover sit 10th in National League - South (6 points from 4 matches) and Braintree sit 20th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Dover4202886
20Braintree3102483

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Dover vs Braintree?
The Footlab model makes Dover the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Braintree.
Where and when is Dover vs Braintree played?
Dover vs Braintree is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Perrys Crabble Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Dover and Braintree

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