Billericay Town vs Tonbridge Angels: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)AGP Arena, Billericay, Essex
The Footlab model makes Billericay Town the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Tonbridge Angels. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Billericay Town vs Tonbridge Angels?
Billericay Town starts as the favourite with a 198-point Elo edge (1,974 vs 1,775).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Billericay Town have 13 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Tonbridge Angels have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 4-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | AFC Totton(away) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dover(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| May 4, 2026 | Brentwood Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Chatham Town(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Truro City(home) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Dover(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Torquay(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 4-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Billericay Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Tonbridge Angels win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2022 | Tonbridge Angels 2-0 Billericay Town | National League - South |
| Oct 23, 2021 | Billericay Town 0-1 Tonbridge Angels | National League - South |
| Oct 6, 2020 | Billericay Town 0-2 Tonbridge Angels | National League - South |
| Jan 25, 2020 | Billericay Town 3-3 Tonbridge Angels | National League - South |
| Dec 7, 2019 | Tonbridge Angels 3-2 Billericay Town | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Tonbridge Angels vs Billericay Town on Feb 26, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Billericay Town score 2.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tonbridge Angels score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billericay Town | 2.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Tonbridge Angels | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Billericay Town sit 8th in National League - South (6 points from 3 matches) and Tonbridge Angels sit 9th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Billericay Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 9 | Tonbridge Angels | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Billericay Town vs Tonbridge Angels?
- The Footlab model makes Billericay Town the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Tonbridge Angels.
- Where and when is Billericay Town vs Tonbridge Angels played?
- Billericay Town vs Tonbridge Angels is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at AGP Arena, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026Maidstone UtdvsSalisbury
- Aug 29, 2026TorquayvsHampton & Richmond
- Aug 29, 2026DovervsBraintree
- Aug 29, 2026Slough TownvsFolkestone Invicta
- Aug 29, 2026Chelmsford CityvsMaidenhead
- Aug 29, 2026Truro CityvsDagenham & Redbridge
- Aug 29, 2026AFC TottonvsChesham United
- Aug 29, 2026FarnboroughvsEbbsfleet United