AFC Wimbledon vs Barnsley: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London
The Footlab AI model makes AFC Wimbledon the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Barnsley. The most likely score is 1-1. If AFC Wimbledon wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Barnsley?
A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate AFC Wimbledon (1,784) and Barnsley (1,784).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AFC Wimbledon vs Barnsley
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AFC Wimbledon
3-4-2-1- 9J. Stockley
- 3S. Seddon
- 5O. Harrison
- 8C. Maycock
- 12A. Smith
- 29A. Sasu
- 21M. Hippolyte
- 33I. Ogundere
- 17A. Yiadom
- 6R. Johnson
- 39J. Bursik
Barnsley
4-2-3-1- 10B. Touré
- 8C. McGeehan
- 19R. Cleary
- 22Patrick Kelly
- 17Amani Richards
- 45Vimal Yoganathan
- 6C. O'Riordan
- 2A. Kay
- 5J. Shepherd
- 11T. Noslin
- 25Rogan Ravenhill
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Wimbledon have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Barnsley have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Plymouth(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Barnet(home) | 0-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cambridge United(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Stockport County(away) | 1-3 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Leeds United U21(home) | 3-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Leicester(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Peterborough(away) | 3-3 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 AFC Wimbledon win, 2 draws, 1 Barnsley win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Barnsley 3-3 AFC Wimbledon | League One |
| Aug 23, 2025 | AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Barnsley | League One |
| Jan 19, 2019 | AFC Wimbledon 1-4 Barnsley | League One |
| Aug 18, 2018 | Barnsley 0-0 AFC Wimbledon | League One |
Last archived meeting: Barnsley vs AFC Wimbledon on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Wimbledon score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Barnsley score 1.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Wimbledon | 0.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Barnsley | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Wimbledon sit 11th in League One (12 points from 9 matches) and Barnsley sit 19th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | AFC Wimbledon | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 12 |
| 19 | Barnsley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 8 |
A question about AFC Wimbledon vs Barnsley?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Wimbledon vs Barnsley?
- The Footlab AI model makes AFC Wimbledon the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Barnsley.
- Where and when is AFC Wimbledon vs Barnsley played?
- AFC Wimbledon vs Barnsley is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Cherry Red Records Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.