Stockport County vs Leyton Orient: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Edgeley Park, Stockport, Greater Manchester
The Footlab model makes Stockport County the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Leyton Orient. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stockport County vs Leyton Orient?
Stockport County starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,930 vs 1,819).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stockport County have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Leyton Orient have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Blackpool(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Everton U21(home) | 6-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Plymouth(away) | 3-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Preston(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wigan(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Waltham Abbey(away) | 7-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Stockport County win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Leyton Orient win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Stockport County 0-0 Leyton Orient | League One |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Leyton Orient 2-2 Stockport County | League One |
| May 14, 2025 | Stockport County 1-1 Leyton Orient | League One |
| May 10, 2025 | Leyton Orient 2-2 Stockport County | League One |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Leyton Orient 0-1 Stockport County | League One |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Stockport County 1-4 Leyton Orient | League One |
Last archived meeting: Stockport County vs Leyton Orient on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stockport County score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Leyton Orient score 1.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stockport County | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Leyton Orient | 1.8 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stockport County sit 9th in League One (3 points from 2 matches) and Leyton Orient sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Stockport County | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | Leyton Orient | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stockport County vs Leyton Orient?
- The Footlab model makes Stockport County the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Leyton Orient.
- Where and when is Stockport County vs Leyton Orient played?
- Stockport County vs Leyton Orient is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Edgeley Park, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.