Agigea vs Dunarea Calarasi: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 4Group 4 - 18Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Agigea, Agigea
The Footlab model makes Dunarea Calarasi the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Agigea. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Agigea vs Dunarea Calarasi?
Dunarea Calarasi starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (1,449 vs 1,300).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Agigea have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Dunarea Calarasi have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Axiopolis(home) | 2-3 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Progresul Fundulea(home) | 0-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 8, 2026 | FCSB II(away) | 0-3 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 1, 2026 | Dinamo Bucureşti II(home) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Voluntari II(away) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | CS Afumati(home) | 0-3 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Înainte Modelu(home) | 2-0 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Gloria Băneasa(away) | 3-1 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Flacăra Moreni(home) | 2-7 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Ştefăneşti(away) | 1-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Agigea win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Dunarea Calarasi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Dunarea Calarasi 5-0 Agigea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Agigea 1-1 Dunarea Calarasi | Liga III - Serie 3 |
Last archived meeting: Dunarea Calarasi vs Agigea on Nov 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Agigea score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Dunarea Calarasi score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agigea | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Dunarea Calarasi | 1.5 | 2.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Agigea vs Dunarea Calarasi?
- The Footlab model makes Dunarea Calarasi the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Agigea.
- Where and when is Agigea vs Dunarea Calarasi played?
- Agigea vs Dunarea Calarasi is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Agigea, in the Liga III - Serie 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.