Sporting Lieşti vs Agricola Borcea: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 4Group 4 - 18Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Comunal, Lieşti
The Footlab model makes Sporting Lieşti the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Agricola Borcea. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting Lieşti vs Agricola Borcea?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Sporting Lieşti (1,596) and Agricola Borcea (1,520).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting Lieşti have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Agricola Borcea have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | USV Iaşi(away) | 2-1 | Cupa României |
| Aug 12, 2026 | CSM Adjud(away) | 4-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Unirea Braniştea(away) | 4-2 | Cupa României |
| May 23, 2026 | Stiinta Miroslava(away) | 3-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Viitorul Onesti(home) | 2-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Unirea Slobozia(home) | 1-4 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Axiopolis(away) | 3-1 | Cupa României |
| May 23, 2026 | Ştefăneşti(home) | 0-4 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Olimpic Zărneşti(away) | 2-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Tricolorul Breaza(home) | 6-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting Lieşti score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Agricola Borcea score 2.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lieşti | 2.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Agricola Borcea | 2.7 | 1.6 | 6 | 7/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting Lieşti vs Agricola Borcea?
- The Footlab model makes Sporting Lieşti the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Agricola Borcea.
- Where and when is Sporting Lieşti vs Agricola Borcea played?
- Sporting Lieşti vs Agricola Borcea is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Comunal, in the Liga III - Serie 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.