Agoncillo vs La Calzada: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Group 16 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San Roque, Agoncillo
The Footlab AI model makes Agoncillo the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for La Calzada. The most likely score is 1-1. If Agoncillo wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Agoncillo vs La Calzada?
On Elo ratings, Agoncillo has 1,747 points and La Calzada 1,709.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Agoncillo vs La Calzada
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Agoncillo
Not enough data to predict the Agoncillo lineup.
La Calzada
Not enough data to predict the La Calzada lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 05:39 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Agoncillo have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; La Calzada have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Comillas(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Varea(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Vianés(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Casalarreina(away) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Calahorra(home) | 3-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | River Ebro(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Berceo(away) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Comillas(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Varea(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Vianés(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Agoncillo wins, 1 draw, 2 La Calzada wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Agoncillo 1-1 La Calzada | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | La Calzada 2-3 Agoncillo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Agoncillo 2-1 La Calzada | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 27, 2024 | La Calzada 3-0 Agoncillo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Mar 26, 2023 | La Calzada 1-0 Agoncillo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Nov 27, 2022 | Agoncillo 1-0 La Calzada | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
Last archived meeting: Agoncillo vs La Calzada on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Agoncillo score 1.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; La Calzada score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agoncillo | 1.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| La Calzada | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Agoncillo sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 (9 points from 7 matches) and La Calzada sit 6th (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | La Calzada | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | Agoncillo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 9 |
A question about Agoncillo vs La Calzada?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Agoncillo vs La Calzada?
- The Footlab AI model makes Agoncillo the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for La Calzada.
- Where and when is Agoncillo vs La Calzada played?
- Agoncillo vs La Calzada is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San Roque, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.