Agricola Borcea vs Gloria Băneasa: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 4Group 4 - 17Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Comunal, Borcea
The Footlab model makes Agricola Borcea the favourite at 69%, against 17% for a draw and 14% for Gloria Băneasa. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Agricola Borcea vs Gloria Băneasa?
Agricola Borcea starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (1,520 vs 1,334).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Agricola Borcea have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Gloria Băneasa have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Unirea Slobozia(home) | 1-4 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Axiopolis(away) | 3-1 | Cupa României |
| May 23, 2026 | Ştefăneşti(home) | 0-4 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Olimpic Zărneşti(away) | 2-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Tricolorul Breaza(home) | 6-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Dunarea Calarasi(home) | 1-3 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Axiopolis(away) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja(home) | 1-5 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 2, 2026 | Voluntari II(home) | 3-0 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Progresul Fundulea(away) | 1-4 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Agricola Borcea win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Gloria Băneasa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | Gloria Băneasa 0-5 Agricola Borcea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Agricola Borcea 2-2 Gloria Băneasa | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Aug 13, 2025 | Agricola Borcea 1-0 Gloria Băneasa | Cupa României |
| May 17, 2025 | Gloria Băneasa 9-1 Agricola Borcea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Agricola Borcea 1-3 Gloria Băneasa | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Agricola Borcea 2-0 Gloria Băneasa | Liga III - Serie 3 |
Last archived meeting: Gloria Băneasa vs Agricola Borcea on Nov 8, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Agricola Borcea score 2.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Gloria Băneasa score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agricola Borcea | 2.7 | 1.6 | 6 | 7/15 | 13/15 |
| Gloria Băneasa | 1.1 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Agricola Borcea vs Gloria Băneasa?
- The Footlab model makes Agricola Borcea the favourite at 69%, against 17% for a draw and 14% for Gloria Băneasa.
- Where and when is Agricola Borcea vs Gloria Băneasa played?
- Agricola Borcea vs Gloria Băneasa is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Comunal, in the Liga III - Serie 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.