Înainte Modelu vs Agigea: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 4Group 4 - 17Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Vasile Enache, Modelu
The Footlab model makes Înainte Modelu the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Agigea. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Înainte Modelu vs Agigea?
Înainte Modelu starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (1,464 vs 1,300).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Înainte Modelu have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Agigea have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Dunarea Calarasi(away) | 0-2 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja(away) | 6-0 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Tricolorul Breaza(home) | 3-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Flacăra Moreni(away) | 1-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | Ştefăneşti(home) | 0-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Axiopolis(home) | 2-3 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Progresul Fundulea(home) | 0-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 8, 2026 | FCSB II(away) | 0-3 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 1, 2026 | Dinamo Bucureşti II(home) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Voluntari II(away) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Înainte Modelu win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Agigea win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Agigea 1-0 Înainte Modelu | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Înainte Modelu 6-0 Agigea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
Last archived meeting: Agigea vs Înainte Modelu on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Înainte Modelu score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Agigea score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Înainte Modelu | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Agigea | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Înainte Modelu vs Agigea?
- The Footlab model makes Înainte Modelu the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Agigea.
- Where and when is Înainte Modelu vs Agigea played?
- Înainte Modelu vs Agigea is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Vasile Enache, in the Liga III - Serie 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.