FC Oţelul II vs Sporting Lieşti: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 4Group 4 - 17Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Baza Sportivă Zoltan David, Galaţi
The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Lieşti the favourite at 79%, against 12% for a draw and 9% for FC Oţelul II. The most likely score is 1-3.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,615 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Oţelul II vs Sporting Lieşti?
Sporting Lieşti is a heavy favourite: 1,634 Elo points against 1,284, a 350-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Oţelul II vs Sporting Lieşti
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Oţelul II
Not enough data to predict the FC Oţelul II lineup.
Sporting Lieşti
4-3-3- 9Viorel Costea
- 7Valentin Munteanu
- 99Petrisor Voinea
- 6Bogdan Crihana
- 5Daniel Munchiu
- 11Alexandru Stan
- 77Claudiu Maftei
- 19Tudor Nastase
- 18S. Podasca
- 15P. Popa
- 1Giulio Munteanu
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 04:11 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Oţelul II have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Sporting Lieşti have 9, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Agigea(away) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Portul Constanta(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sporting Lieşti(away) | 1-6 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Gloria Băneasa(home) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja(away) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Progresul Fundulea(home) | 0-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Agricola Borcea(away) | 3-5 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Oţelul II(home) | 6-1 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Dunarea Calarasi(away) | 2-3 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Înainte Modelu(home) | 5-4 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 FC Oţelul II wins, 1 draw, 2 Sporting Lieşti wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sporting Lieşti 6-1 FC Oţelul II | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Mar 6, 2026 | FC Oţelul II 0-6 Sporting Lieşti | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Sporting Lieşti 3-3 FC Oţelul II | Liga III - Serie 2 |
Last archived meeting: Sporting Lieşti vs FC Oţelul II on Sep 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Oţelul II score 1.2 and concede 3.2 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting Lieşti score 2.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Oţelul II | 1.2 | 3.2 | 1 | 9/15 | 14/15 |
| Sporting Lieşti | 2.7 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Oţelul II sit 12th in Liga III - Serie 4 (3 points from 7 matches) and Sporting Lieşti sit 5th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sporting Lieşti | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 12 |
| 12 | FC Oţelul II | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 3 |
A question about FC Oţelul II vs Sporting Lieşti?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Oţelul II vs Sporting Lieşti?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Lieşti the favourite at 79%, against 12% for a draw and 9% for FC Oţelul II.
- Where and when is FC Oţelul II vs Sporting Lieşti played?
- FC Oţelul II vs Sporting Lieşti is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Baza Sportivă Zoltan David, in the Liga III - Serie 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.