Agricola Borcea vs Progresul Fundulea: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 4Group 4 - 3Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Comunal, Borcea
The Footlab model makes Agricola Borcea the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Progresul Fundulea. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Agricola Borcea vs Progresul Fundulea?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Agricola Borcea (1,520) and Progresul Fundulea (1,456).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Agricola Borcea have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Progresul Fundulea have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Unirea Slobozia(home) | 1-4 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Axiopolis(away) | 3-1 | Cupa României |
| May 23, 2026 | Ştefăneşti(home) | 0-4 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Olimpic Zărneşti(away) | 2-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Tricolorul Breaza(home) | 6-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Progresul Spartac(away) | 0-2 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Agigea(away) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Axiopolis(home) | 3-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 2, 2026 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja(away) | 6-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Gloria Băneasa(home) | 4-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Agricola Borcea win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Progresul Fundulea win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | Agricola Borcea 2-1 Progresul Fundulea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Progresul Fundulea 1-2 Agricola Borcea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Progresul Fundulea 1-1 Agricola Borcea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Agricola Borcea 1-0 Progresul Fundulea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Progresul Fundulea 0-2 Agricola Borcea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Agricola Borcea 3-0 Progresul Fundulea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
Last archived meeting: Agricola Borcea vs Progresul Fundulea on Dec 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Agricola Borcea score 2.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Progresul Fundulea score 2.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agricola Borcea | 2.7 | 1.6 | 6 | 7/15 | 13/15 |
| Progresul Fundulea | 2.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Agricola Borcea vs Progresul Fundulea?
- The Footlab model makes Agricola Borcea the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Progresul Fundulea.
- Where and when is Agricola Borcea vs Progresul Fundulea played?
- Agricola Borcea vs Progresul Fundulea is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Comunal, in the Liga III - Serie 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.