Agropecuario vs Atletico DE Rafaela: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 28Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ofelia Rosenzuaig, Carlos Casares, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Agropecuario the favourite at 41%, against 35% for a draw and 24% for Atletico DE Rafaela. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Agropecuario vs Atletico DE Rafaela?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Agropecuario (1,736) and Atletico DE Rafaela (1,767).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Agropecuario have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Atletico DE Rafaela have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tristan Suarez(away) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ciudad de Bolívar(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Club Atlético Güemes(home) | 3-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chacarita Juniors(away) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | San Martin S.J.(home) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Defensores De Belgrano(home) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chacarita Juniors(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | San Martin S.J.(away) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nueva Chicago(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Temperley(away) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Agropecuario win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Atletico DE Rafaela win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2026 | Atletico DE Rafaela 4-1 Agropecuario | Primera Nacional |
| Jun 18, 2022 | Atletico DE Rafaela 2-2 Agropecuario | Primera Nacional |
| Feb 10, 2019 | Agropecuario 2-0 Atletico DE Rafaela | Primera Nacional |
| Dec 3, 2017 | Agropecuario 1-3 Atletico DE Rafaela | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Atletico DE Rafaela vs Agropecuario on Apr 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Agropecuario score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico DE Rafaela score 0.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 25% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agropecuario | 0.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Atletico DE Rafaela | 0.5 | 0.9 | 8 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Agropecuario sit 15th in Primera Nacional (29 points from 26 matches) and Atletico DE Rafaela sit 8th (35 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Atletico DE Rafaela | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 19 | 35 |
| 15 | Agropecuario | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 22 | 30 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Agropecuario vs Atletico DE Rafaela?
- The Footlab model makes Agropecuario the favourite at 41%, against 35% for a draw and 24% for Atletico DE Rafaela.
- Where and when is Agropecuario vs Atletico DE Rafaela played?
- Agropecuario vs Atletico DE Rafaela is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ofelia Rosenzuaig, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 25% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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