Match

Ferro Carril Oeste vs Atletico Mitre: prediction and stats

Primera NacionalRegular Season - 28Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry, Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires

Ferro Carril OesteAtletico Mitre

The Footlab model makes Ferro Carril Oeste the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Atletico Mitre. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ferro Carril Oeste vs Atletico Mitre?

A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Ferro Carril Oeste (1,809) and Atletico Mitre (1,710).

Ferro Carril Oeste win65 %
Draw21 %
Atletico Mitre win14 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ferro Carril Oeste have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Atletico Mitre have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ferro Carril Oeste
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Atlanta(home)3-1Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026Los Andes(away)2-1Primera Nacional
Aug 1, 2026Godoy Cruz(home)1-3Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026Deportivo Moron(away)0-4Primera Nacional
Jul 17, 2026Colon Santa Fe(home)2-0Primera Nacional
Atletico Mitre
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Deportivo Madryn(away)0-4Primera Nacional
Aug 15, 2026Club Atlético Güemes(home)1-1Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026Defensores De Belgrano(home)2-1Primera Nacional
Aug 2, 2026Ciudad de Bolívar(away)2-0Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026Almirante Brown(home)0-0Primera Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Ferro Carril Oeste win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Atletico Mitre win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 19, 2026Atletico Mitre 0-1 Ferro Carril OestePrimera Nacional
Sep 4, 2023Ferro Carril Oeste 3-0 Atletico MitrePrimera Nacional
Apr 23, 2023Atletico Mitre 0-2 Ferro Carril OestePrimera Nacional
Mar 19, 2022Atletico Mitre 1-1 Ferro Carril OestePrimera Nacional
Mar 1, 2020Atletico Mitre 0-1 Ferro Carril OestePrimera Nacional
Sep 8, 2019Ferro Carril Oeste 0-0 Atletico MitrePrimera Nacional

Last archived meeting: Atletico Mitre vs Ferro Carril Oeste on Apr 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ferro Carril Oeste score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Mitre score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ferro Carril Oeste1.61.068/159/15
Atletico Mitre1.01.557/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ferro Carril Oeste sit 1st in Primera Nacional (49 points from 25 matches) and Atletico Mitre sit 12th (29 points from 26 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Ferro Carril Oeste251546312349
12Atletico Mitre266119253329

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Atletico Mitre?
The Footlab model makes Ferro Carril Oeste the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Atletico Mitre.
Where and when is Ferro Carril Oeste vs Atletico Mitre played?
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Atletico Mitre is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry, in the Primera Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Ferro Carril Oeste and Atletico Mitre

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