Ferro Carril Oeste vs Atletico Mitre: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 28Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry, Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Ferro Carril Oeste the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Atletico Mitre. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ferro Carril Oeste vs Atletico Mitre?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Ferro Carril Oeste (1,809) and Atletico Mitre (1,710).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ferro Carril Oeste have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Atletico Mitre have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atlanta(home) | 3-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Los Andes(away) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Godoy Cruz(home) | 1-3 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Deportivo Moron(away) | 0-4 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Colon Santa Fe(home) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Deportivo Madryn(away) | 0-4 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Club Atlético Güemes(home) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Defensores De Belgrano(home) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ciudad de Bolívar(away) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Almirante Brown(home) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Ferro Carril Oeste win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Atletico Mitre win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Atletico Mitre 0-1 Ferro Carril Oeste | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 4, 2023 | Ferro Carril Oeste 3-0 Atletico Mitre | Primera Nacional |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Atletico Mitre 0-2 Ferro Carril Oeste | Primera Nacional |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Atletico Mitre 1-1 Ferro Carril Oeste | Primera Nacional |
| Mar 1, 2020 | Atletico Mitre 0-1 Ferro Carril Oeste | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 8, 2019 | Ferro Carril Oeste 0-0 Atletico Mitre | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Atletico Mitre vs Ferro Carril Oeste on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ferro Carril Oeste score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Mitre score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferro Carril Oeste | 1.6 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Atletico Mitre | 1.0 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ferro Carril Oeste sit 1st in Primera Nacional (49 points from 25 matches) and Atletico Mitre sit 12th (29 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 49 |
| 12 | Atletico Mitre | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 25 | 33 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Atletico Mitre?
- The Footlab model makes Ferro Carril Oeste the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Atletico Mitre.
- Where and when is Ferro Carril Oeste vs Atletico Mitre played?
- Ferro Carril Oeste vs Atletico Mitre is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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