Tristan Suarez vs San Martin Tucuman: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 28Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio 20 de Octubre, Ezeiza, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Tristan Suarez the favourite at 57%, against 29% for a draw and 15% for San Martin Tucuman. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tristan Suarez vs San Martin Tucuman?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Tristan Suarez (1,858) and San Martin Tucuman (1,771).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tristan Suarez have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; San Martin Tucuman have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Agropecuario(home) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Almirante Brown(home) | 3-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Gimnasia Jujuy(away) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Club Atlético Güemes(away) | 3-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chacarita Juniors(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chacarita Juniors(away) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Deportivo Madryn(home) | 2-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | San Martin S.J.(home) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nueva Chicago(away) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Temperley(home) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Tristan Suarez win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 San Martin Tucuman win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | San Martin Tucuman 0-0 Tristan Suarez | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 19, 2025 | San Martin Tucuman 1-1 Tristan Suarez | Primera Nacional |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Tristan Suarez 0-0 San Martin Tucuman | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 29, 2024 | San Martin Tucuman 1-0 Tristan Suarez | Primera Nacional |
| May 11, 2024 | Tristan Suarez 0-0 San Martin Tucuman | Primera Nacional |
| May 23, 2022 | San Martin Tucuman 1-0 Tristan Suarez | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: San Martin Tucuman vs Tristan Suarez on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tristan Suarez score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; San Martin Tucuman score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan Suarez | 1.1 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| San Martin Tucuman | 0.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tristan Suarez sit 1st in Primera Nacional (48 points from 25 matches) and San Martin Tucuman sit 11th (32 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 25 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 28 | 13 | 48 |
| 11 | San Martin Tucuman | 25 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 24 | 22 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tristan Suarez vs San Martin Tucuman?
- The Footlab model makes Tristan Suarez the favourite at 57%, against 29% for a draw and 15% for San Martin Tucuman.
- Where and when is Tristan Suarez vs San Martin Tucuman played?
- Tristan Suarez vs San Martin Tucuman is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio 20 de Octubre, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026Colon Santa FevsDeportivo Moron
- Aug 29, 2026TemperleyvsColegiales
- Aug 29, 2026San Martin S.J.vsMidland
- Aug 29, 2026AgropecuariovsAtletico DE Rafaela
- Aug 29, 2026Ferro Carril OestevsAtletico Mitre
- Aug 29, 2026AlmagrovsGimnasia Jujuy
- Aug 29, 2026Nueva ChicagovsQuilmes
- Aug 29, 2026Chacarita JuniorsvsAtlanta