Chacarita Juniors vs Atlanta: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 28Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Chacarita Juniors, General San Martín, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Atlanta the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Chacarita Juniors. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chacarita Juniors vs Atlanta?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Chacarita Juniors (1,711) and Atlanta (1,779).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chacarita Juniors have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Atlanta have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | San Martin Tucuman(home) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Club Atlético Güemes(home) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | CA Estudiantes(away) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atletico DE Rafaela(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Agropecuario(home) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nueva Chicago(away) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ferro Carril Oeste(away) | 1-3 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Temperley(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Deportivo Maipu(away) | 2-4 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Almagro(home) | 1-3 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chacarita Juniors win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Atlanta win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2026 | Atlanta 1-0 Chacarita Juniors | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Atlanta 0-1 Chacarita Juniors | Primera Nacional |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Chacarita Juniors 1-1 Atlanta | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2022 | Atlanta 1-1 Chacarita Juniors | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2021 | Atlanta 0-3 Chacarita Juniors | Primera Nacional |
| Mar 17, 2021 | Chacarita Juniors 0-1 Atlanta | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Atlanta vs Chacarita Juniors on Apr 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chacarita Juniors score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Atlanta score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chacarita Juniors | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Atlanta | 1.3 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chacarita Juniors sit 16th in Primera Nacional (27 points from 25 matches) and Atlanta sit 3rd (42 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Atlanta | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 31 | 25 | 42 |
| 16 | Chacarita Juniors | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 26 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chacarita Juniors vs Atlanta?
- The Footlab model makes Atlanta the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Chacarita Juniors.
- Where and when is Chacarita Juniors vs Atlanta played?
- Chacarita Juniors vs Atlanta is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Chacarita Juniors, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026TemperleyvsColegiales
- Aug 29, 2026San Martin S.J.vsMidland
- Aug 29, 2026AgropecuariovsAtletico DE Rafaela
- Aug 29, 2026Ferro Carril OestevsAtletico Mitre
- Aug 29, 2026AlmagrovsGimnasia Jujuy
- Aug 29, 2026Nueva ChicagovsQuilmes
- Aug 29, 2026Defensores De BelgranovsRacing Cordoba
- Aug 29, 2026Colon Santa FevsDeportivo Moron