Real Murcia vs Águilas: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 19Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Enrique Roca de Murcia, Murcia
The Footlab AI model makes Real Murcia the favourite at 65%, against 22% for a draw and 13% for Águilas. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,771 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Murcia vs Águilas?
On Elo ratings, Real Murcia has 1,950 points and Águilas 1,895.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Murcia vs Águilas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Murcia
4-3-3- 23D. Flakus Bosilj
- 17Javi Moreno
- 19Joel Jorquera
- 8Javi Mier
- 14Palmberg
- 10Chema Núñez
- 3Cristo
- 6Alberto González
- 2Jorge Mier
- 5Joan Rojas
- 13Dani Jiménez
Águilas
4-3-3- 10Javi Castedo
- 11Josema Raigal
- 7Sergio Sanchís
- 6Y. El Arbaoui
- 8Mario Abenza
- 21A. Heredia
- 3José Mas
- 2Johan Terranova
- 23H. Martinez
- 4Antonio Sánchez
- 13Jose Salcedo
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 01:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Murcia have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Águilas have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Antequera(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Juventud Torremolinos(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Zaragoza(home) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | FC Cartagena(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Juventud Torremolinos(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Antequera(away) | 0-2 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Teruel(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ibiza(home) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Huesca(home) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Real Murcia wins, 1 draw, 1 Águilas win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2024 | Águilas 3-0 Real Murcia | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Águilas 1-2 Real Murcia | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 31, 2022 | Águilas 2-2 Real Murcia | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 1, 2022 | Real Murcia 1-0 Águilas | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Dec 12, 2021 | Águilas 1-2 Real Murcia | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Águilas vs Real Murcia on Aug 10, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Real Murcia score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Águilas score 0.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Murcia | 1.6 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Águilas | 0.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Murcia sit 4th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (19 points from 10 matches) and Águilas sit 16th (8 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Real Murcia | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 19 |
| 16 | Águilas | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 8 |
A question about Real Murcia vs Águilas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Murcia vs Águilas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Murcia the favourite at 65%, against 22% for a draw and 13% for Águilas.
- Where and when is Real Murcia vs Águilas played?
- Real Murcia vs Águilas is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Enrique Roca de Murcia, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.