Ahal vs Altyn Asyr: prediction and stats
Ýokary LigaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Ahal Stadium, Abadan
The Footlab model makes Ahal the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Altyn Asyr. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ahal vs Altyn Asyr?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Ahal (1,627) and Altyn Asyr (1,624).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ahal have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Altyn Asyr have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Merw(home) | 4-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Arkadag(away) | 1-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Aşgabat(home) | 4-3 | Ýokary Liga |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Nebitci(away) | 4-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Şagadam(home) | 1-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(away) | 2-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Nebitci(home) | 4-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Şagadam(away) | 2-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Merw(away) | 2-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| May 20, 2026 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(home) | 2-5 | Ýokary Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Ahal win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Altyn Asyr win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Ahal 0-0 Altyn Asyr | Ýokary Liga |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Altyn Asyr 0-0 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Altyn Asyr 3-3 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Ahal 0-0 Altyn Asyr | Ýokary Liga |
| May 18, 2025 | Altyn Asyr 3-1 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Ahal 0-1 Altyn Asyr | Ýokary Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Ahal score 1.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Altyn Asyr score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahal | 1.9 | 0.8 | 9 | 4/15 | 9/15 |
| Altyn Asyr | 1.7 | 0.7 | 10 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ahal sit 2nd in Ýokary Liga (55 points from 28 matches) and Altyn Asyr sit 3rd (53 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ahal | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 54 | 26 | 55 |
| 3 | Altyn Asyr | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 54 | 35 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ahal vs Altyn Asyr?
- The Footlab model makes Ahal the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Altyn Asyr.
- Where and when is Ahal vs Altyn Asyr played?
- Ahal vs Altyn Asyr is played on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Ahal Stadium, in the Ýokary Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.