Köpetdag Aşgabat vs Nebitci: prediction and stats
Ýokary LigaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Köpetdag Stadium, Ashgabat
The Footlab model makes Köpetdag Aşgabat the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Nebitci. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Köpetdag Aşgabat vs Nebitci?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Köpetdag Aşgabat (1,247) and Nebitci (1,333).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Köpetdag Aşgabat have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Nebitci have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Şagadam(away) | 2-3 | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Altyn Asyr(home) | 1-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Arkadag(away) | 0-3 | Ýokary Liga |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Merw(home) | 2-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Aşgabat(home) | 3-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Aşgabat(home) | 1-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Merw(away) | 1-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Şagadam(away) | 0-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Altyn Asyr(away) | 2-4 | Ýokary Liga |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Ahal(home) | 0-4 | Ýokary Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Köpetdag Aşgabat win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Nebitci win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Nebitci 1-0 Köpetdag Aşgabat | Ýokary Liga |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Köpetdag Aşgabat 0-1 Nebitci | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 11, 2025 | Nebitci 2-1 Köpetdag Aşgabat | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Köpetdag Aşgabat 3-3 Nebitci | Ýokary Liga |
| Jun 5, 2025 | Nebitci 1-0 Köpetdag Aşgabat | Ýokary Liga |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Köpetdag Aşgabat 0-0 Nebitci | Ýokary Liga |
Last archived meeting: Nebitci vs Köpetdag Aşgabat on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Köpetdag Aşgabat score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nebitci score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Köpetdag Aşgabat | 1.1 | 2.1 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Nebitci | 0.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Köpetdag Aşgabat sit 7th in Ýokary Liga (16 points from 28 matches) and Nebitci sit 5th (36 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nebitci | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 36 |
| 7 | Köpetdag Aşgabat | 28 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 24 | 73 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Köpetdag Aşgabat vs Nebitci?
- The Footlab model makes Köpetdag Aşgabat the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Nebitci.
- Where and when is Köpetdag Aşgabat vs Nebitci played?
- Köpetdag Aşgabat vs Nebitci is played on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Köpetdag Stadium, in the Ýokary Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.