Ahal vs Merw: result 3-0 and analysis
Ýokary LigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on April 11, 2025 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Köpetdag Stadium, Ashgabat
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What was the result of Ahal vs Merw?
Ahal won 3-0 on April 11, 2025.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ahal have 11 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Merw have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | Şagadam(away) | 2-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Altyn Asyr(home) | 0-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(home) | 4-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Nebitci(home) | 2-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 17, 2024 | Altyn Asyr(away) | 0-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2025 | Arkadag(away) | 0-7 | Ýokary Liga |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Nebitci(away) | 0-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Aşgabat(away) | 0-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(away) | 3-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Mar 5, 2025 | Şagadam(away) | 0-1 | Ýokary Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Ahal wins, 0 draws, 0 Merw wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2024 | Merw 0-1 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Ahal 2-0 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| May 1, 2024 | Ahal 5-1 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| Mar 7, 2024 | Merw 0-1 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 18, 2023 | Merw 0-1 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 8, 2023 | Ahal 4-0 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Ahal score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Merw score 0.6 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahal | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Merw | 0.6 | 1.9 | 5 | 2/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ahal sit 3rd in Ýokary Liga (42 points from 22 matches) and Merw sit 6th (18 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ahal | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 50 | 28 | 42 |
| 6 | Merw | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 23 | 59 | 18 |
A question about Ahal vs Merw?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy